CFO Insights - Finance, M&A & Capital Markets

Perspectives on capital allocation, M&A, fractional CFO strategy, and financial leadership for business owners and institutional investors.

Gregg Carlson Gregg Carlson

The Controller Function in the Age of AI: What Business Owners and Senior Management Need to Know

The Controller function — month-end close, account reconciliations, financial reporting, GAAP compliance — is the finance role most immediately transformed by AI.

AI automates the mechanical. It does not replace the judgment. Revenue recognition under ASC 606, complex accruals, intercompany eliminations, lease accounting under ASC 842, inventory costing methods, and management reporting context all require professional judgment that no current AI system can reliably provide. A business that replaces its Controller with AI tools alone will produce faster financial statements that are less reliable.

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Gregg Carlson Gregg Carlson

AI at Scale: Three Approaches to Capital Allocation — A Corporate Finance Case Study Using Amazon, Microsoft, and Google

Amazon, Microsoft, and Google are each spending $80B–$200B on AI infrastructure in FY 2026 — a combined commitment approaching $600 billion. But the strategies are fundamentally different: Amazon is building vertically (custom chips + cloud), Microsoft is monetizing through distribution (Azure + Copilot + OpenAI), and Google is leveraging its model advantage (Gemini + Search + Cloud). The capital allocation choices each company makes today will determine their competitive positions for the next decade.

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Gregg Carlson Gregg Carlson

Understanding Financial Statements: What Your P&L, Balance Sheet, and Cash Flow Statement Are Actually Telling You

Most business owners read their financial statements once a year, usually at tax time, after their accountant has already prepared them. The value in financial statements is not in confirming what happened — it is in telling you what is happening right now and what is likely to happen next.

The three financial statements are not three separate documents. They are three views of the same business, linked together. The income statement tells you whether you made money. The balance sheet tells you what you own and owe. The cash flow statement tells you whether you have cash. A business can show profit on the income statement and simultaneously run out of cash.

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Gregg Carlson Gregg Carlson

Amazon (AMZN) Valuation After Q1 2026 Earnings: A Two-Stage DCF Analysis Across Seven Business Segments

Amazon’s Q1 2026 earnings beat across every major line: $181.5B revenue (+17% YoY), $23.9B operating income at a record 13.1% margin, AWS growing 28% to $37.6B (fastest pace in 15 quarters), and Advertising at $17.2B (+24% YoY) crossing $70B in TTM revenue.

Amazon is not one business — it is seven with radically different economics. AWS and Advertising, which represent approximately 31% of revenue, generate the overwhelming majority of economic value. Valuing Amazon without separating these segments produces a meaningless blended average.

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Gregg Carlson Gregg Carlson

Raising Equity Capital: What Founders and Owners Need to Know in 2026

Equity capital is the most expensive form of financing measured in permanent ownership dilution. Every percentage point you give up is permanently gone unless you buy it back at a higher price later.

The most common mistake founders make is negotiating valuation hard and terms lightly. The terms — liquidation preferences, anti-dilution provisions, board composition, protective provisions — determine your actual economic outcome far more than the headline pre-money figure.

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